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Backtest: the model is trained only on the past, predicts each following hour, then rolls forward (walk-forward). Live: every published forecast is scored once the real price is known.
Gold reacts to real interest rates, the US dollar, inflation expectations and periods of market stress, and it is followed closely by other precious metals and mining stocks.
Our own combination of statistical and machine-learning models and variables, re-tested every week on data it has never seen. The weekly automatic selection keeps what performs best for this asset.